Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.509660 4.150100 4.901834 5.856594 7.047224 8.496639 10.415518
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.537089 3.304246 4.320092 5.792792 7.923078 10.973888 15.829166
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.092806 2.896139 4.045304 5.864747 8.782292 13.485111 22.110066
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.789826 2.594781 3.817509 5.894654 9.520712 15.987300 29.452619
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.616722 2.442103 3.764956 6.161708 10.693408 19.608656 40.724792
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.414948 2.204987 3.524351 6.038256 11.105116 21.913244 50.505696
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.273728 2.042491 3.376116 6.040510 11.750555 24.941990 64.021885
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.145151 1.881431 3.200967 5.947987 12.163711 27.601054 78.477187
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.066102 1.795774 3.148259 6.088189 13.138093 32.091950 102.612621
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.969038 1.664167 2.986977 5.962460 13.439161 34.898232 123.475027
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.940505 1.656586 3.067351 6.389037 15.283623 43.248918 177.506583
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.899247 1.618713 3.079288 6.658903 16.805181 51.497681 244.241324
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.854131 1.578239 3.102663 7.027760 18.977860 64.533655 373.814118
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.778452 1.467983 2.961600 6.961486 19.868162 73.776751 511.570884
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.723620 1.393082 2.886123 7.050614 21.339524 87.266293 746.336238
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.672655 1.319313 2.800146 7.088086 22.671993 101.836736 1083.204057
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.643155 1.288649 2.812579 7.422605 25.367473 128.026959 1824.914349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.593062 1.204913 2.678582 7.267874 25.980624 142.295877 2532.199050
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.555663 1.146012 2.599092 7.270697 27.330253 164.465812 3851.752810
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.517309 1.080419 2.492017 7.154831 28.091305 183.855303 5610.664784
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.494017 1.048191 2.469778 7.330440 30.455437 223.098591 10047.132547
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.460899 0.988341 2.362552 7.172950 30.993691 246.107989 15060.157437
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.453644 0.991739 2.434178 7.707938 35.871677 333.751492 40628.794129